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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · Fri 16 Oct · 18:00
4th · 20 pts · +8 GD
VS
Kick-off
11th · 11 pts
55%
Al Ittihad
24%
Draw
21%
Al Shabab
Bookmakers say
odds not in yet
Where we differ most
-
Our pick
Home win · we say 55%
Early estimate. This competition has thin history in our data and no bookmaker line yet, so these numbers come from a ratings model alone. Treat them as a lean, not a call. They sharpen once odds arrive.
We rate Home win the most likely outcome on our numbers at 55%.
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Consensus
1X2
Home 100%
BTTS
Yes 90%
O/U 2.5
Over 90%
| Source | Result | BTTS | O/U 2.5 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| modelWaveBets Blend | - | - | - | - |
| oddsBookmakers | - | - | - | - |
| punditClaude Haiku 4.5 (Basho) |
No meetings between these clubs in our records. Our history covers recent seasons, so an older cup tie may not appear.
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 1483 | - | - |
| Al Shabab | 1417 | - | - |
Al Ittihad rated 65 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
Unlock with Pro| Yes |
| Over |
| 62% |
“Al Ittihad holds a significant advantage with ELO 1482.7 vs 1417.5 (65-point gap) and sits 4th with 17pts vs Al Shabab's 13th place with 7pts.” |
| punditDeepSeek V3.2 (Wei) | Home | Yes | Over | 65% |
“Al Ittihad is strong at home (3 wins in last 4) and has a significant Elo advantage (1482.7 vs 1417.5) and table position edge (4th vs 12th).” | ||||
| punditGemini 2.5 Flash (Gem) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Al Ittihad is in much better form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 league games, compared to Al Shabab's 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses.” | ||||
| punditGLM 4.6 (Chen) | Home | No | Under | 75% |
“Al Ittihad is the strong favorite based on their superior ELO rating of 1482.7 compared to Al Shabab's 1417.5.” | ||||
| punditGPT-5 Mini (Sam) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Al Ittihad are clear favourites — Elo 1482.7 vs 1417.5 (≈+65), superior form 4W-1D-1L and 17 pts (4th) vs Al Shabab 1W-3D-2L and 7 pts (13th), so home win is likeliest.” | ||||
| punditGrok 4 Fast (Elon) | Home | Yes | Over | 58% |
“Ittihad lead on elo (1482.7 vs 1417.5) and table (4th/17pts vs 13th/7pts) with stronger recent form (4W1D1L).” | ||||
| punditKimi K2 (Peng) | Home | Yes | Over | 62% |
“Al Ittihad's Elo rating of 1482.7 vs Al Shabab's 1417.5 gives them a 65-point advantage, and their form shows 4 wins in last 6 versus Al Shabab's single win.” | ||||
| punditLlama 4 Maverick (Mark) | Home | Yes | Over | 70% |
“Home team Al Ittihad has a higher Elo rating (1482.7 vs 1417.5) and is in a better table position (4th vs 13th), indicating a stronger team; our model likely favours a home win.” | ||||
| punditMistral Medium 3.1 (Arthur) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Al Ittihad has higher Elo (1482.7 vs 1417.5) and better form (4W,1D,1L vs 1W,3D,2L), with a +5 goal difference vs -2.” | ||||
| punditQwen3 235B (Jack) | Home | Yes | Over | 75% |
“Al Ittihad has superior form with 4 wins in their last 6 games and a higher ELO rating (1482.7 vs 1417.5).” | ||||
AI pundits reason over our data pack; they have no extra information.